Uruguay
78.7
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Spain
85.9
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Spain Win
55.9% probability
0.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 23.4% chance
0.0–1.0 23.4%
0.0–0.0 17.7%
0.0–2.0 17.4%
1.0–1.0 9.1%
0.0–3.0 8.3%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Uruguay – Spain)
Shots on Target
8.2
Uruguay: 3.5
Spain: 4.8
Corners
9.8
Uruguay: 3.7
Spain: 6.0
Both Teams Score
NO
36.7% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 7.0 + 15.0 real matches
Uruguay
POSSESSION
Possession
58.2/100
Aggression
62.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
38.6%
Poss
12.0
Shots
3.6
SOT
6.1
Corners
Spain
POSSESSION
Possession
94.9/100
Aggression
90.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
62.9%
Poss
17.3
Shots
6.0
SOT
6.9
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
17.2%
Uruguay Win
27.0%
Draw
55.9%
Spain Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
53.9%
O 2.5 ★
46.4%
O 3.5
10.5%
SOT O/U
Uruguay
3.5
Spain
4.8
O 8.5
44.2%
O 9.5
31.5%
Corners O/U
Uruguay
3.7
Spain
6.0
O 9.5
51.5%
O 10.5
39.1%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
36.7% — NO
xG Uruguay
0.3
xG Spain
1.4
Uruguay — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.0%
Tie
73.0%
Lose
Spain — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.0%
Tie
73.0%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Spain Win
55.9% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Uruguay
17.2%
Draw
27.0%
Spain
55.9%
AI Verdict
Spain Win
55.9% probability
xG Uruguay
0.3
Score
0.0 – 1.0
xG Spain
1.4
Your Predicted Score
Uruguay
–
Spain
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
46.4% Over
AI:
36.7% Yes
AI:
51.5% Over
AI:
44.2% Over
AI:
64.8% Over
AI:
59.4% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 53.9% | Under 1.5 | 46.1% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 10.5% | Under 3.5 | 89.5% |
| BTTS | 36.7% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
3.5
Uruguay
4.8
Spain
Total Expected
~8.2
Over 8.5
8%
Corners
3.7
Uruguay
6.0
Spain
Total ~9.8
Over 9.5
51.5%
Over 10.5
39.1%
Yellow Cards
2.7
Uruguay
1.8
Spain
Total ~4.4
Over 3.5
64.8%
Over 4.5
45.7%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
26.2%
Possession
61.0%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
58.5
Attack Score
80.9
106.5
Defence Score
93.7
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
3.5
Shots on Target
4.8
5.2
Interceptions
6.2
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Uruguay
← Home / Away →
Spain