United States
84.8
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Australia
60.4
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Australia Win
39.4% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 14.1% chance
1.0–1.0 14.1%
0.0–1.0 11.5%
0.0–0.0 10.7%
1.0–2.0 8.7%
0.0–2.0 8.7%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (United States – Australia)
Shots on Target
8.7
United States: 4.5
Australia: 4.2
Corners
9.5
United States: 5.0
Australia: 4.4
Both Teams Score
YES
51.5% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 14.0 + 8.0 real matches
United States
POSSESSION
Possession
83.5/100
Aggression
71.1/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
55.3%
Poss
13.6
Shots
4.9
SOT
5.4
Corners
Australia
AGGRESSIVE
Possession
65.0/100
Aggression
47.2/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
43.1%
Poss
9.0
Shots
3.1
SOT
3.1
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs AGGRESSIVE
Goals
medium
Corners
high
Cards
medium
BTTS
likely
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
34.9%
United States Win
25.8%
Draw
39.4%
Australia Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
69.6%
O 2.5 ★
54.7%
O 3.5
21.3%
SOT O/U
United States
4.5
Australia
4.2
O 8.5
50.4%
O 9.5
37.3%
Corners O/U
United States
5.0
Australia
4.4
O 9.5
47.2%
O 10.5
34.9%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
51.5% — YES
xG United States
1.0
xG Australia
1.4
United States — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
25.8%
Tie
74.2%
Lose
Australia — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
25.8%
Tie
74.2%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Australia Win
39.4% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
United States
34.9%
Draw
25.8%
Australia
39.4%
AI Verdict
Australia Win
39.4% probability
xG United States
1.0
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG Australia
1.4
Your Predicted Score
United States
–
Australia
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
54.7% Over
AI:
51.5% Yes
AI:
47.2% Over
AI:
50.4% Over
AI:
27.4% Over
AI:
46.7% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 69.6% | Under 1.5 | 30.4% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 21.3% | Under 3.5 | 78.7% |
| BTTS | 51.5% — YES | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
4.5
United States
4.2
Australia
Total Expected
~8.7
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
5.0
United States
4.4
Australia
Total ~9.5
Over 9.5
47.2%
Over 10.5
34.9%
Yellow Cards
1.4
United States
1.2
Australia
Total ~2.6
Over 3.5
27.4%
Over 4.5
12.9%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
54.7%
Possession
45.2%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
71.2
Attack Score
42.7
107.7
Defence Score
98.9
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
4.5
Shots on Target
4.2
7.1
Interceptions
9.0
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
United States
← Home / Away →
Australia