Tunisia
53.6
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Japan
61.4
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Japan Win
82.5% probability
0.0 – 2.0
Most Probable Score · 16.2% chance
0.0–2.0 16.2%
0.0–3.0 13.6%
0.0–1.0 12.3%
0.0–4.0 8.5%
1.0–2.0 7.4%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Tunisia – Japan)
Shots on Target
8.7
Tunisia: 3.5
Japan: 5.2
Corners
10.8
Tunisia: 5.0
Japan: 5.8
Both Teams Score
NO
41.7% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 11.0 + 7.0 real matches
Tunisia
AGGRESSIVE
Possession
68.6/100
Aggression
45.7/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
45.5%
Poss
8.7
Shots
2.7
SOT
4.0
Corners
Japan
POSSESSION
Possession
70.3/100
Aggression
55.4/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
46.6%
Poss
10.6
Shots
4.1
SOT
3.9
Corners
Matchup Pattern: AGGRESSIVE vs POSSESSION
Goals
medium
Corners
high
Cards
medium
BTTS
likely
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
0.0%
Tunisia Win
17.5%
Draw
82.5%
Japan Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
80.3%
O 2.5 ★
54.7%
O 3.5
34.6%
SOT O/U
Tunisia
3.5
Japan
5.2
O 8.5
50.5%
O 9.5
37.4%
Corners O/U
Tunisia
5.0
Japan
5.8
O 9.5
64.2%
O 10.5
52.1%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
41.7% — NO
xG Tunisia
0.5
xG Japan
2.5
Tunisia — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
17.5%
Tie
82.5%
Lose
Japan — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
17.5%
Tie
82.5%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Japan Win
82.5% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Tunisia
0.0%
Draw
17.5%
Japan
82.5%
AI Verdict
Japan Win
82.5% probability
xG Tunisia
0.5
Score
0.0 – 2.0
xG Japan
2.5
Your Predicted Score
Tunisia
–
Japan
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
54.7% Over
AI:
41.7% Yes
AI:
64.2% Over
AI:
50.5% Over
AI:
41.6% Over
AI:
67.7% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | Under 1.5 | 19.7% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | Under 3.5 | 65.4% |
| BTTS | 41.7% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
3.5
Tunisia
5.2
Japan
Total Expected
~8.7
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
5.0
Tunisia
5.8
Japan
Total ~10.8
Over 9.5
64.2%
Over 10.5
52.1%
Yellow Cards
1.4
Tunisia
1.9
Japan
Total ~3.3
Over 3.5
41.6%
Over 4.5
23.5%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
47.8%
Possession
46.7%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
33.4
Attack Score
57.4
99.4
Defence Score
96.2
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
3.5
Shots on Target
5.2
7.1
Interceptions
10.3
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Tunisia
← Home / Away →
Japan