VS
Spain
85.9
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Cape Verde
50.4
AI Summary Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Spain Win
79.1% probability
2.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 19.8% chance
2.0–0.0 19.8% 1.0–0.0 19.7% 3.0–0.0 12.8% 0.0–0.0 11.0% 1.0–1.0 7.0%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Spain – Cape Verde)
Shots on Target
8.5
Spain: 5.2
Cape Verde: 3.3
Corners
9.5
Spain: 5.8
Cape Verde: 3.7
Both Teams Score
NO
36.7% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
51.6% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style Based on 15.0 + 7.0 real matches
Spain POSSESSION
Possession 94.9/100
Aggression 90.9/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
62.9%
Poss
17.3
Shots
6.0
SOT
6.9
Corners
Cape Verde AGGRESSIVE
Possession 53.5/100
Aggression 54.7/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
35.5%
Poss
10.4
Shots
2.6
SOT
4.1
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs AGGRESSIVE
Goals
medium
Corners
high
Cards
medium
BTTS
likely
Detailed Stats Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
79.1%
Spain Win
19.1%
Draw
1.9%
Cape Verde Win

Goals O/U
O 1.5 66.7%
O 2.5 ★ 51.6%
O 3.5 19.3%
SOT O/U
Spain 5.2
Cape Verde 3.3
O 8.5 47.8%
O 9.5 34.8%
Corners O/U
Spain 5.8
Cape Verde 3.7
O 9.5 47.5%
O 10.5 35.2%
BTTS + xG
BTTS 36.7% — NO
xG Spain 1.9
xG Cape Verde 0.3

Spain — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
19.1%
Tie
80.9%
Lose
Cape Verde — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
19.1%
Tie
80.9%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Spain Win
79.1% probability

Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Spain 79.1%
Draw 19.1%
Cape Verde 1.9%
AI Verdict
Spain Win
79.1% probability

xG Spain
1.9
Score
2.0 – 0.0
xG Cape Verde
0.3


Your Predicted Score
Spain Cape Verde

Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.

Your Betting Slip — Every Market

Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.

AI: 51.6% Over
AI: 36.7% Yes
AI: 47.5% Over
AI: 47.8% Over
AI: 59.0% Over
AI: 47.4% Over
Goals Over / Under
Over 1.5 66.7% Under 1.5 33.3%
Over 2.5 ★ 51.6% Under 2.5 48.4%
Over 3.5 19.3% Under 3.5 80.7%
BTTS 36.7% — NO
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5

Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.

Shots on Target
5.2
Spain
3.3
Cape Verde
Total Expected ~8.5
Over 8.5 8%
Corners
5.8
Spain
3.7
Cape Verde
Total ~9.5
Over 9.5 47.5%
Over 10.5 35.2%
Yellow Cards
1.6
Spain
2.6
Cape Verde
Total ~4.1
Over 3.5 59.0%
Over 4.5 39.5%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
61.0% Possession 33.4%
0.0% Win Rate 0.0%
80.9 Attack Score 33.1
93.7 Defence Score 98.5
0.0% GK Save Rate 0.0%
5.2 Shots on Target 3.3
6.2 Interceptions 5.3
0.0 Clean Sheets/Seas 0.0
0.0 Goals For 0.0
0.0 Goals Against 0.0
0.0× Form Trend 0.0×
Spain ← Home / Away → Cape Verde