Senegal
60.4
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Iraq
48.7
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Senegal Win
74.7% probability
2.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 14.5% chance
2.0–0.0 14.5%
1.0–0.0 11.8%
3.0–0.0 11.2%
2.0–1.0 8.7%
1.0–1.0 8.3%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Senegal – Iraq)
Shots on Target
8.3
Senegal: 5.3
Iraq: 3.0
Corners
8.7
Senegal: 5.3
Iraq: 3.4
Both Teams Score
NO
46.1% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 15.0 + 6.0 real matches
Senegal
POSSESSION
Possession
82.6/100
Aggression
70.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
54.8%
Poss
13.5
Shots
6.1
SOT
5.6
Corners
Iraq
DEFENSIVE
Possession
37.1/100
Aggression
21.0/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
24.6%
Poss
4.0
Shots
0.7
SOT
1.7
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs DEFENSIVE
Goals
low
Corners
high
Cards
low
BTTS
unlikely
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
74.7%
Senegal Win
15.1%
Draw
10.2%
Iraq Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
79.6%
O 2.5 ★
54.7%
O 3.5
33.4%
SOT O/U
Senegal
5.3
Iraq
3.0
O 8.5
45.5%
O 9.5
32.7%
Corners O/U
Senegal
5.3
Iraq
3.4
O 9.5
37.6%
O 10.5
26.1%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
46.1% — NO
xG Senegal
2.3
xG Iraq
0.6
Senegal — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
15.1%
Tie
84.9%
Lose
Iraq — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
15.1%
Tie
84.9%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Senegal Win
74.7% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Senegal
74.7%
Draw
15.1%
Iraq
10.2%
AI Verdict
Senegal Win
74.7% probability
xG Senegal
2.3
Score
2.0 – 0.0
xG Iraq
0.6
Your Predicted Score
Senegal
–
Iraq
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
54.7% Over
AI:
46.1% Yes
AI:
37.6% Over
AI:
45.5% Over
AI:
44.0% Over
AI:
53.0% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | Under 1.5 | 20.4% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 33.4% | Under 3.5 | 66.6% |
| BTTS | 46.1% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
5.3
Senegal
3.0
Iraq
Total Expected
~8.3
Over 8.5
8%
Corners
5.3
Senegal
3.4
Iraq
Total ~8.7
Over 9.5
37.6%
Over 10.5
26.1%
Yellow Cards
1.9
Senegal
1.4
Iraq
Total ~3.4
Over 3.5
44.0%
Over 4.5
25.4%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
54.6%
Possession
11.2%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
49.7
Attack Score
32.6
94.5
Defence Score
98.3
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
5.3
Shots on Target
3.0
7.4
Interceptions
2.3
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Senegal
← Home / Away →
Iraq