Portugal
90.9
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Spain
85.9
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Spain Win
52.1% probability
0.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 18.7% chance
0.0–1.0 18.7%
0.0–0.0 16.1%
0.0–2.0 13.2%
1.0–1.0 12.5%
1.0–2.0 7.6%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Portugal – Spain)
Shots on Target
8.7
Portugal: 4.3
Spain: 4.4
Corners
10.1
Portugal: 5.2
Spain: 4.9
Both Teams Score
NO
41.7% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 13.0 + 15.0 real matches
Portugal
POSSESSION
Possession
96.6/100
Aggression
77.4/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
64.0%
Poss
14.8
Shots
4.8
SOT
6.9
Corners
Spain
POSSESSION
Possession
94.9/100
Aggression
90.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
62.9%
Poss
17.3
Shots
6.0
SOT
6.9
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
18.6%
Portugal Win
29.3%
Draw
52.1%
Spain Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
57.8%
O 2.5 ★
46.4%
O 3.5
12.6%
SOT O/U
Portugal
4.3
Spain
4.4
O 8.5
50.7%
O 9.5
37.6%
Corners O/U
Portugal
5.2
Spain
4.9
O 9.5
55.9%
O 10.5
43.4%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
41.7% — NO
xG Portugal
0.6
xG Spain
1.3
Portugal — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
29.3%
Tie
70.7%
Lose
Spain — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
29.3%
Tie
70.7%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Spain Win
52.1% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Portugal
18.6%
Draw
29.3%
Spain
52.1%
AI Verdict
Spain Win
52.1% probability
xG Portugal
0.6
Score
0.0 – 1.0
xG Spain
1.3
Your Predicted Score
Portugal
–
Spain
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
46.4% Over
AI:
41.7% Yes
AI:
55.9% Over
AI:
50.7% Over
AI:
51.2% Over
AI:
48.1% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 57.8% | Under 1.5 | 42.2% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 12.6% | Under 3.5 | 87.4% |
| BTTS | 41.7% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
4.3
Portugal
4.4
Spain
Total Expected
~8.7
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
5.2
Portugal
4.9
Spain
Total ~10.1
Over 9.5
55.9%
Over 10.5
43.4%
Yellow Cards
2.2
Portugal
1.5
Spain
Total ~3.7
Over 3.5
51.2%
Over 4.5
31.9%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
65.0%
Possession
61.0%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
86.6
Attack Score
80.9
101.1
Defence Score
93.7
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
4.3
Shots on Target
4.4
8.7
Interceptions
6.2
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Portugal
← Home / Away →
Spain