Portugal
90.9
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Croatia
75.7
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Portugal Win
55.3% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 12.9% chance
1.0–1.0 12.9%
1.0–0.0 12.1%
2.0–0.0 10.7%
0.0–0.0 9.5%
2.0–1.0 9.4%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Portugal – Croatia)
Shots on Target
8.9
Portugal: 5.1
Croatia: 3.8
Corners
9.6
Portugal: 6.2
Croatia: 3.5
Both Teams Score
YES
51.5% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 13.0 + 11.0 real matches
Portugal
POSSESSION
Possession
96.6/100
Aggression
77.4/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
64.0%
Poss
14.8
Shots
4.8
SOT
6.9
Corners
Croatia
POSSESSION
Possession
80.4/100
Aggression
62.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
53.3%
Poss
12.0
Shots
4.5
SOT
3.1
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
55.3%
Portugal Win
25.3%
Draw
19.4%
Croatia Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
72.2%
O 2.5 ★
54.7%
O 3.5
24.0%
SOT O/U
Portugal
5.1
Croatia
3.8
O 8.5
53.1%
O 9.5
39.9%
Corners O/U
Portugal
6.2
Croatia
3.5
O 9.5
49.6%
O 10.5
37.2%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
51.5% — YES
xG Portugal
1.6
xG Croatia
0.9
Portugal — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
25.3%
Tie
74.7%
Lose
Croatia — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
25.3%
Tie
74.7%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Portugal Win
55.3% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Portugal
55.3%
Draw
25.3%
Croatia
19.4%
AI Verdict
Portugal Win
55.3% probability
xG Portugal
1.6
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG Croatia
0.9
Your Predicted Score
Portugal
–
Croatia
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
54.7% Over
AI:
51.5% Yes
AI:
49.6% Over
AI:
53.1% Over
AI:
38.5% Over
AI:
51.9% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 72.2% | Under 1.5 | 27.8% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | Under 3.5 | 76.0% |
| BTTS | 51.5% — YES | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
5.1
Portugal
3.8
Croatia
Total Expected
~8.9
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
6.2
Portugal
3.5
Croatia
Total ~9.6
Over 9.5
49.6%
Over 10.5
37.2%
Yellow Cards
1.4
Portugal
1.8
Croatia
Total ~3.1
Over 3.5
38.5%
Over 4.5
20.9%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
65.0%
Possession
55.3%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
86.6
Attack Score
72.5
101.1
Defence Score
99.8
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
5.1
Shots on Target
3.8
8.7
Interceptions
10.1
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Portugal
← Home / Away →
Croatia