Netherlands
73.9
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Japan
61.4
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Netherlands Win
40.4% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 13.8% chance
1.0–1.0 13.8%
0.0–0.0 8.7%
0.0–1.0 8.7%
1.0–2.0 8.3%
1.0–0.0 8.3%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Netherlands – Japan)
Shots on Target
7.8
Netherlands: 3.9
Japan: 4.0
Corners
9.9
Netherlands: 5.5
Japan: 4.4
Both Teams Score
YES
51.5% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 14.0 + 7.0 real matches
Netherlands
POSSESSION
Possession
78.3/100
Aggression
65.5/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
51.9%
Poss
12.5
Shots
4.3
SOT
5.0
Corners
Japan
POSSESSION
Possession
70.3/100
Aggression
55.4/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
46.6%
Poss
10.6
Shots
4.1
SOT
3.9
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
40.4%
Netherlands Win
26.0%
Draw
33.5%
Japan Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
74.4%
O 2.5 ★
54.7%
O 3.5
26.2%
SOT O/U
Netherlands
3.9
Japan
4.0
O 8.5
38.5%
O 9.5
26.3%
Corners O/U
Netherlands
5.5
Japan
4.4
O 9.5
53.2%
O 10.5
40.7%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
51.5% — YES
xG Netherlands
1.3
xG Japan
1.3
Netherlands — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
26.0%
Tie
74.0%
Lose
Japan — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
26.0%
Tie
74.0%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Netherlands Win
40.4% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Netherlands
40.4%
Draw
26.0%
Japan
33.5%
AI Verdict
Netherlands Win
40.4% probability
xG Netherlands
1.3
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG Japan
1.3
Your Predicted Score
Netherlands
–
Japan
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
54.7% Over
AI:
51.5% Yes
AI:
53.2% Over
AI:
38.5% Over
AI:
28.0% Over
AI:
42.3% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | Under 1.5 | 25.6% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 26.2% | Under 3.5 | 73.8% |
| BTTS | 51.5% — YES | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
3.9
Netherlands
4.0
Japan
Total Expected
~7.8
Over 8.5
8%
Corners
5.5
Netherlands
4.4
Japan
Total ~9.9
Over 9.5
53.2%
Over 10.5
40.7%
Yellow Cards
1.2
Netherlands
1.5
Japan
Total ~2.7
Over 3.5
28.0%
Over 4.5
13.3%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
51.5%
Possession
46.7%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
63.5
Attack Score
57.4
101.3
Defence Score
96.2
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
3.9
Shots on Target
4.0
6.5
Interceptions
10.3
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Netherlands
← Home / Away →
Japan