Mexico
66.1
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
South Korea
61.7
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Mexico Win
53.5% probability
1.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 18.2% chance
1.0–0.0 18.2%
0.0–0.0 15.8%
2.0–0.0 12.8%
1.0–1.0 12.8%
0.0–1.0 7.7%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Mexico – South Korea)
Shots on Target
8.4
Mexico: 5.0
South Korea: 3.4
Corners
9.4
Mexico: 5.3
South Korea: 4.2
Both Teams Score
NO
41.7% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 17.0 + 6.0 real matches
Mexico
POSSESSION
Possession
84.2/100
Aggression
66.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
55.8%
Poss
12.8
Shots
5.1
SOT
4.9
Corners
South Korea
POSSESSION
Possession
91.8/100
Aggression
64.7/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
60.9%
Poss
12.3
Shots
4.5
SOT
6.2
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
53.5%
Mexico Win
27.9%
Draw
18.6%
South Korea Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
58.3%
O 2.5 ★
46.4%
O 3.5
12.8%
SOT O/U
Mexico
5.0
South Korea
3.4
O 8.5
45.8%
O 9.5
32.9%
Corners O/U
Mexico
5.3
South Korea
4.2
O 9.5
47.0%
O 10.5
34.7%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
41.7% — NO
xG Mexico
1.3
xG South Korea
0.6
Mexico — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.9%
Tie
72.1%
Lose
South Korea — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.9%
Tie
72.1%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Mexico Win
53.5% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Mexico
53.5%
Draw
27.9%
South Korea
18.6%
AI Verdict
Mexico Win
53.5% probability
xG Mexico
1.3
Score
1.0 – 0.0
xG South Korea
0.6
Your Predicted Score
Mexico
–
South Korea
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
46.4% Over
AI:
41.7% Yes
AI:
47.0% Over
AI:
45.8% Over
AI:
35.5% Over
AI:
55.5% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 58.3% | Under 1.5 | 41.7% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 12.8% | Under 3.5 | 87.2% |
| BTTS | 41.7% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
5.0
Mexico
3.4
South Korea
Total Expected
~8.4
Over 8.5
8%
Corners
5.3
Mexico
4.2
South Korea
Total ~9.4
Over 9.5
47.0%
Over 10.5
34.7%
Yellow Cards
1.6
Mexico
1.4
South Korea
Total ~3.0
Over 3.5
35.5%
Over 4.5
18.6%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
58.3%
Possession
59.8%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
63.5
Attack Score
48.3
96.6
Defence Score
98.0
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
5.0
Shots on Target
3.4
8.0
Interceptions
8.0
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Mexico
← Home / Away →
South Korea