VS
Mexico
66.1
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
England
94.8
AI Summary Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Mexico Win
37.2% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 14.7% chance
1.0–1.0 14.7% 0.0–0.0 13.7% 0.0–1.0 12.7% 1.0–0.0 10.5% 0.0–2.0 8.0%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Mexico – England)
Shots on Target
7.1
Mexico: 4.0
England: 3.0
Corners
8.4
Mexico: 4.5
England: 3.9
Both Teams Score
NO
46.1% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style Based on 17.0 + 15.0 real matches
Mexico POSSESSION
Possession 84.2/100
Aggression 66.9/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
55.8%
Poss
12.8
Shots
5.1
SOT
4.9
Corners
England POSSESSION
Possession 92.3/100
Aggression 81.4/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
61.2%
Poss
15.5
Shots
4.9
SOT
6.0
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
37.2%
Mexico Win
27.5%
Draw
35.4%
England Win

Goals O/U
O 1.5 63.1%
O 2.5 ★ 46.4%
O 3.5 15.9%
SOT O/U
Mexico 4.0
England 3.0
O 8.5 28.3%
O 9.5 17.9%
Corners O/U
Mexico 4.5
England 3.9
O 9.5 32.9%
O 10.5 22.1%
BTTS + xG
BTTS 46.1% — NO
xG Mexico 1.0
xG England 1.1

Mexico — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.5%
Tie
72.5%
Lose
England — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.5%
Tie
72.5%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Mexico Win
37.2% probability

Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Mexico 37.2%
Draw 27.5%
England 35.4%
AI Verdict
Mexico Win
37.2% probability

xG Mexico
1.0
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG England
1.1


Your Predicted Score
Mexico England

Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.

Your Betting Slip — Every Market

Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.

AI: 46.4% Over
AI: 46.1% Yes
AI: 32.9% Over
AI: 28.3% Over
AI: 41.5% Over
AI: 43.4% Over
Goals Over / Under
Over 1.5 63.1% Under 1.5 36.9%
Over 2.5 ★ 46.4% Under 2.5 53.6%
Over 3.5 15.9% Under 3.5 84.1%
BTTS 46.1% — NO
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5

Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.

Shots on Target
4.0
Mexico
3.0
England
Total Expected ~7.1
Over 8.5 7%
Corners
4.5
Mexico
3.9
England
Total ~8.4
Over 9.5 32.9%
Over 10.5 22.1%
Yellow Cards
1.9
Mexico
1.4
England
Total ~3.3
Over 3.5 41.5%
Over 4.5 23.3%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
58.3% Possession 60.0%
0.0% Win Rate 0.0%
63.5 Attack Score 99.5
96.6 Defence Score 111.7
0.0% GK Save Rate 0.0%
4.0 Shots on Target 3.0
8.0 Interceptions 6.3
0.0 Clean Sheets/Seas 0.0
0.0 Goals For 0.0
0.0 Goals Against 0.0
0.0× Form Trend 0.0×
Mexico ← Home / Away → England