Mexico
66.1
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Brazil
80.2
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Mexico Win
36.3% probability
0.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 15.6% chance
0.0–0.0 15.6%
1.0–1.0 14.8%
0.0–1.0 13.3%
1.0–0.0 11.9%
0.0–2.0 7.4%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Mexico – Brazil)
Shots on Target
8.8
Mexico: 4.9
Brazil: 3.9
Corners
7.5
Mexico: 4.3
Brazil: 3.2
Both Teams Score
NO
46.1% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 17.0 + 8.0 real matches
Mexico
POSSESSION
Possession
84.2/100
Aggression
66.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
55.8%
Poss
12.8
Shots
5.1
SOT
4.9
Corners
Brazil
POSSESSION
Possession
80.6/100
Aggression
79.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
53.4%
Poss
15.2
Shots
7.0
SOT
4.5
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
36.3%
Mexico Win
29.1%
Draw
34.6%
Brazil Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
59.2%
O 2.5 ★
46.4%
O 3.5
13.3%
SOT O/U
Mexico
4.9
Brazil
3.9
O 8.5
51.4%
O 9.5
38.3%
Corners O/U
Mexico
4.3
Brazil
3.2
O 9.5
22.1%
O 10.5
13.6%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
46.1% — NO
xG Mexico
0.9
xG Brazil
1.0
Mexico — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
29.1%
Tie
70.9%
Lose
Brazil — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
29.1%
Tie
70.9%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Mexico Win
36.3% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Mexico
36.3%
Draw
29.1%
Brazil
34.6%
AI Verdict
Mexico Win
36.3% probability
xG Mexico
0.9
Score
0.0 – 0.0
xG Brazil
1.0
Your Predicted Score
Mexico
–
Brazil
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
46.4% Over
AI:
46.1% Yes
AI:
22.1% Over
AI:
51.4% Over
AI:
48.4% Over
AI:
54.9% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 59.2% | Under 1.5 | 40.8% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 13.3% | Under 3.5 | 86.7% |
| BTTS | 46.1% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
4.9
Mexico
3.9
Brazil
Total Expected
~8.8
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
4.3
Mexico
3.2
Brazil
Total ~7.5
Over 9.5
22.1%
Over 10.5
13.6%
Yellow Cards
2.1
Mexico
1.5
Brazil
Total ~3.6
Over 3.5
48.4%
Over 4.5
29.2%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
58.3%
Possession
49.2%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
63.5
Attack Score
81.2
96.6
Defence Score
103.8
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
4.9
Shots on Target
3.9
8.0
Interceptions
8.0
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Mexico
← Home / Away →
Brazil