VS
Japan
61.4
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Sweden
62.7
AI Summary Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Japan Win
63.0% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 10.2% chance
1.0–1.0 10.2% 2.0–0.0 10.2% 2.0–1.0 9.9% 1.0–0.0 8.6% 3.0–0.0 7.2%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Japan – Sweden)
Shots on Target
9.2
Japan: 4.9
Sweden: 4.3
Corners
9.3
Japan: 4.9
Sweden: 4.4
Both Teams Score
YES
51.5% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style Based on 7.0 + 6.0 real matches
Japan POSSESSION
Possession 70.3/100
Aggression 55.4/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
46.6%
Poss
10.6
Shots
4.1
SOT
3.9
Corners
Sweden POSSESSION
Possession 71.1/100
Aggression 61.2/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
47.1%
Poss
11.7
Shots
5.5
SOT
3.3
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
63.0%
Japan Win
20.1%
Draw
16.9%
Sweden Win

Goals O/U
O 1.5 82.5%
O 2.5 ★ 54.7%
O 3.5 37.6%
SOT O/U
Japan 4.9
Sweden 4.3
O 8.5 57.0%
O 9.5 43.8%
Corners O/U
Japan 4.9
Sweden 4.4
O 9.5 45.5%
O 10.5 33.3%
BTTS + xG
BTTS 51.5% — YES
xG Japan 2.1
xG Sweden 1.0

Japan — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
20.1%
Tie
79.9%
Lose
Sweden — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
20.1%
Tie
79.9%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Japan Win
63.0% probability

Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Japan 63.0%
Draw 20.1%
Sweden 16.9%
AI Verdict
Japan Win
63.0% probability

xG Japan
2.1
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG Sweden
1.0


Your Predicted Score
Japan Sweden

Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.

Your Betting Slip — Every Market

Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.

AI: 54.7% Over
AI: 51.5% Yes
AI: 45.5% Over
AI: 57.0% Over
AI: 23.5% Over
AI: 34.9% Over
Goals Over / Under
Over 1.5 82.5% Under 1.5 17.5%
Over 2.5 ★ 54.7% Under 2.5 45.3%
Over 3.5 37.6% Under 3.5 62.4%
BTTS 51.5% — YES
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5

Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.

Shots on Target
4.9
Japan
4.3
Sweden
Total Expected ~9.2
Over 8.5 9%
Corners
4.9
Japan
4.4
Sweden
Total ~9.3
Over 9.5 45.5%
Over 10.5 33.3%
Yellow Cards
1.4
Japan
1.1
Sweden
Total ~2.5
Over 3.5 23.5%
Over 4.5 10.4%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
46.7% Possession 49.1%
0.0% Win Rate 0.0%
57.4 Attack Score 44.8
96.2 Defence Score 106.9
0.0% GK Save Rate 0.0%
4.9 Shots on Target 4.3
10.3 Interceptions 5.0
0.0 Clean Sheets/Seas 0.0
0.0 Goals For 0.0
0.0 Goals Against 0.0
0.0× Form Trend 0.0×
Japan ← Home / Away → Sweden