Iran
50.4
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
New Zealand
59.1
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Iran Win
56.5% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 12.2% chance
1.0–1.0 12.2%
1.0–0.0 9.8%
2.0–1.0 9.8%
2.0–0.0 9.7%
0.0–0.0 7.2%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Iran – New Zealand)
Shots on Target
6.9
Iran: 2.9
New Zealand: 4.0
Corners
7.8
Iran: 3.4
New Zealand: 4.4
Both Teams Score
YES
51.5% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 7.0 + 9.0 real matches
Iran
DEFENSIVE
Possession
25.2/100
Aggression
27.7/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
16.7%
Poss
5.3
Shots
1.6
SOT
1.1
Corners
New Zealand
DEFENSIVE
Possession
47.5/100
Aggression
33.2/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
31.5%
Poss
6.3
Shots
2.8
SOT
2.2
Corners
Matchup Pattern: DEFENSIVE vs DEFENSIVE
Goals
very low
Corners
low
Cards
low
BTTS
unlikely
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
56.5%
Iran Win
23.7%
Draw
19.8%
New Zealand Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
77.8%
O 2.5 ★
54.7%
O 3.5
30.6%
SOT O/U
Iran
2.9
New Zealand
4.0
O 8.5
25.8%
O 9.5
15.9%
Corners O/U
Iran
3.4
New Zealand
4.4
O 9.5
26.5%
O 10.5
17.0%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
51.5% — YES
xG Iran
1.8
xG New Zealand
1.0
Iran — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
23.7%
Tie
76.3%
Lose
New Zealand — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
23.7%
Tie
76.3%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Iran Win
56.5% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Iran
56.5%
Draw
23.7%
New Zealand
19.8%
AI Verdict
Iran Win
56.5% probability
xG Iran
1.8
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG New Zealand
1.0
Your Predicted Score
Iran
–
New Zealand
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
54.7% Over
AI:
51.5% Yes
AI:
26.5% Over
AI:
25.8% Over
AI:
20.4% Over
AI:
19.6% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | Under 1.5 | 22.2% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 54.7% | Under 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | Under 3.5 | 69.4% |
| BTTS | 51.5% — YES | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
2.9
Iran
4.0
New Zealand
Total Expected
~6.9
Over 8.5
7%
Corners
3.4
Iran
4.4
New Zealand
Total ~7.8
Over 9.5
26.5%
Over 10.5
17.0%
Yellow Cards
1.2
Iran
1.1
New Zealand
Total ~2.3
Over 3.5
20.4%
Over 4.5
8.6%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
50.0%
Possession
47.3%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
34.2
Attack Score
42.9
100.0
Defence Score
101.9
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
2.9
Shots on Target
4.0
0.0
Interceptions
6.3
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Iran
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New Zealand