VS
England
94.8
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Croatia
75.7
AI Summary Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
England Win
55.3% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 12.4% chance
1.0–1.0 12.4% 1.0–0.0 11.9% 2.0–0.0 11.2% 2.0–1.0 9.6% 0.0–0.0 8.7%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (England – Croatia)
Shots on Target
8.2
England: 4.5
Croatia: 3.6
Corners
8.4
England: 5.0
Croatia: 3.4
Both Teams Score
YES
51.5% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
54.7% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style Based on 15.0 + 11.0 real matches
England POSSESSION
Possession 92.3/100
Aggression 81.4/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
61.2%
Poss
15.5
Shots
4.9
SOT
6.0
Corners
Croatia POSSESSION
Possession 80.4/100
Aggression 62.9/100
Pressing 0.0/100
Defensive 0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
53.3%
Poss
12.0
Shots
4.5
SOT
3.1
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
55.3%
England Win
25.4%
Draw
19.3%
Croatia Win

Goals O/U
O 1.5 73.9%
O 2.5 ★ 54.7%
O 3.5 25.9%
SOT O/U
England 4.5
Croatia 3.6
O 8.5 43.2%
O 9.5 30.6%
Corners O/U
England 5.0
Croatia 3.4
O 9.5 33.6%
O 10.5 22.7%
BTTS + xG
BTTS 51.5% — YES
xG England 1.7
xG Croatia 0.9

England — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
25.4%
Tie
74.6%
Lose
Croatia — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
25.4%
Tie
74.6%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
England Win
55.3% probability

Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
England 55.3%
Draw 25.4%
Croatia 19.3%
AI Verdict
England Win
55.3% probability

xG England
1.7
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG Croatia
0.9


Your Predicted Score
England Croatia

Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.

Your Betting Slip — Every Market

Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.

AI: 54.7% Over
AI: 51.5% Yes
AI: 33.6% Over
AI: 43.2% Over
AI: 39.0% Over
AI: 45.5% Over
Goals Over / Under
Over 1.5 73.9% Under 1.5 26.1%
Over 2.5 ★ 54.7% Under 2.5 45.3%
Over 3.5 25.9% Under 3.5 74.1%
BTTS 51.5% — YES
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5

Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.

Shots on Target
4.5
England
3.6
Croatia
Total Expected ~8.2
Over 8.5 8%
Corners
5.0
England
3.4
Croatia
Total ~8.4
Over 9.5 33.6%
Over 10.5 22.7%
Yellow Cards
1.3
England
1.9
Croatia
Total ~3.2
Over 3.5 39.0%
Over 4.5 21.4%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
60.0% Possession 55.3%
0.0% Win Rate 0.0%
99.5 Attack Score 72.5
111.7 Defence Score 99.8
0.0% GK Save Rate 0.0%
4.5 Shots on Target 3.6
6.3 Interceptions 10.1
0.0 Clean Sheets/Seas 0.0
0.0 Goals For 0.0
0.0 Goals Against 0.0
0.0× Form Trend 0.0×
England ← Home / Away → Croatia