Ecuador
51.0
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Germany
88.7
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Germany Win
43.3% probability
0.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 19.4% chance
0.0–0.0 19.4%
0.0–1.0 18.0%
1.0–1.0 13.7%
1.0–0.0 10.6%
0.0–2.0 10.1%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Ecuador – Germany)
Shots on Target
8.7
Ecuador: 3.7
Germany: 5.0
Corners
9.2
Ecuador: 4.0
Germany: 5.2
Both Teams Score
NO
41.7% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 8.0 + 13.0 real matches
Ecuador
POSSESSION
Possession
84.8/100
Aggression
69.5/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
56.2%
Poss
13.2
Shots
4.6
SOT
5.6
Corners
Germany
POSSESSION
Possession
94.0/100
Aggression
100.0/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
62.3%
Poss
19.1
Shots
7.2
SOT
7.8
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
24.9%
Ecuador Win
31.8%
Draw
43.3%
Germany Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
52.1%
O 2.5 ★
46.4%
O 3.5
9.4%
SOT O/U
Ecuador
3.7
Germany
5.0
O 8.5
49.9%
O 9.5
36.8%
Corners O/U
Ecuador
4.0
Germany
5.2
O 9.5
43.4%
O 10.5
31.4%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
41.7% — NO
xG Ecuador
0.7
xG Germany
1.1
Ecuador — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
31.8%
Tie
68.2%
Lose
Germany — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
31.8%
Tie
68.2%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Germany Win
43.3% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Ecuador
24.9%
Draw
31.8%
Germany
43.3%
AI Verdict
Germany Win
43.3% probability
xG Ecuador
0.7
Score
0.0 – 0.0
xG Germany
1.1
Your Predicted Score
Ecuador
–
Germany
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
46.4% Over
AI:
41.7% Yes
AI:
43.4% Over
AI:
49.9% Over
AI:
46.7% Over
AI:
61.8% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 52.1% | Under 1.5 | 47.9% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 9.4% | Under 3.5 | 90.6% |
| BTTS | 41.7% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
3.7
Ecuador
5.0
Germany
Total Expected
~8.7
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
4.0
Ecuador
5.2
Germany
Total ~9.2
Over 9.5
43.4%
Over 10.5
31.4%
Yellow Cards
1.9
Ecuador
1.6
Germany
Total ~3.5
Over 3.5
46.7%
Over 4.5
27.8%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
56.8%
Possession
61.0%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
34.8
Attack Score
74.0
98.9
Defence Score
98.9
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
3.7
Shots on Target
5.0
9.5
Interceptions
5.8
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Ecuador
← Home / Away →
Germany