Ecuador
51.0
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Curaçao
50.1
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Ecuador Win
58.2% probability
1.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 25.4% chance
1.0–0.0 25.4%
0.0–0.0 22.5%
2.0–0.0 15.8%
1.0–1.0 9.2%
3.0–0.0 6.4%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Ecuador – Curaçao)
Shots on Target
8.0
Ecuador: 4.9
Curaçao: 3.1
Corners
8.0
Ecuador: 4.6
Curaçao: 3.4
Both Teams Score
NO
33.0% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
34.3% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 8.0 + 10.0 real matches
Ecuador
POSSESSION
Possession
84.8/100
Aggression
69.5/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
56.2%
Poss
13.2
Shots
4.6
SOT
5.6
Corners
Curaçao
AGGRESSIVE
Possession
61.8/100
Aggression
39.3/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
41.0%
Poss
7.5
Shots
2.3
SOT
2.3
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs AGGRESSIVE
Goals
medium
Corners
high
Cards
medium
BTTS
likely
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
58.2%
Ecuador Win
30.3%
Draw
11.5%
Curaçao Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
46.0%
O 2.5 ★
34.3%
O 3.5
6.9%
SOT O/U
Ecuador
4.9
Curaçao
3.1
O 8.5
40.9%
O 9.5
28.5%
Corners O/U
Ecuador
4.6
Curaçao
3.4
O 9.5
27.9%
O 10.5
18.1%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
33.0% — NO
xG Ecuador
1.2
xG Curaçao
0.3
Ecuador — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
30.3%
Tie
69.7%
Lose
Curaçao — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
30.3%
Tie
69.7%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Ecuador Win
58.2% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Ecuador
58.2%
Draw
30.3%
Curaçao
11.5%
AI Verdict
Ecuador Win
58.2% probability
xG Ecuador
1.2
Score
1.0 – 0.0
xG Curaçao
0.3
Your Predicted Score
Ecuador
–
Curaçao
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
34.3% Over
AI:
33.0% Yes
AI:
27.9% Over
AI:
40.9% Over
AI:
35.5% Over
AI:
75.3% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 46.0% | Under 1.5 | 54.0% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 34.3% | Under 2.5 | 65.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 6.9% | Under 3.5 | 93.1% |
| BTTS | 33.0% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
4.9
Ecuador
3.1
Curaçao
Total Expected
~8.0
Over 8.5
8%
Corners
4.6
Ecuador
3.4
Curaçao
Total ~8.0
Over 9.5
27.9%
Over 10.5
18.1%
Yellow Cards
1.4
Ecuador
1.6
Curaçao
Total ~3.0
Over 3.5
35.5%
Over 4.5
18.7%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
56.8%
Possession
52.1%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
34.8
Attack Score
32.0
98.9
Defence Score
99.4
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
4.9
Shots on Target
3.1
9.5
Interceptions
10.2
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Ecuador
← Home / Away →
Curaçao