Ecuador
51.0
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Brazil
80.2
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
38.1% probability
0.0 – 0.0
Most Probable Score · 31.0% chance
0.0–0.0 31.0%
0.0–1.0 22.4%
1.0–0.0 11.8%
1.0–1.0 10.9%
0.0–2.0 9.1%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Ecuador – Brazil)
Shots on Target
8.9
Ecuador: 4.3
Brazil: 4.6
Corners
7.5
Ecuador: 3.9
Brazil: 3.6
Both Teams Score
NO
33.0% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
30.8% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 8.0 + 8.0 real matches
Ecuador
POSSESSION
Possession
84.8/100
Aggression
69.5/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
56.2%
Poss
13.2
Shots
4.6
SOT
5.6
Corners
Brazil
POSSESSION
Possession
80.6/100
Aggression
79.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
53.4%
Poss
15.2
Shots
7.0
SOT
4.5
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
24.9%
Ecuador Win
38.1%
Draw
37.0%
Brazil Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
34.9%
O 2.5 ★
30.8%
O 3.5
3.4%
SOT O/U
Ecuador
4.3
Brazil
4.6
O 8.5
52.6%
O 9.5
39.4%
Corners O/U
Ecuador
3.9
Brazil
3.6
O 9.5
22.0%
O 10.5
13.5%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
33.0% — NO
xG Ecuador
0.4
xG Brazil
0.8
Ecuador — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
38.1%
Tie
61.9%
Lose
Brazil — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
38.1%
Tie
61.9%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Draw
38.1% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Ecuador
24.9%
Draw
38.1%
Brazil
37.0%
AI Verdict
Draw
38.1% probability
xG Ecuador
0.4
Score
0.0 – 0.0
xG Brazil
0.8
Your Predicted Score
Ecuador
–
Brazil
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
30.8% Over
AI:
33.0% Yes
AI:
22.0% Over
AI:
52.6% Over
AI:
39.4% Over
AI:
56.2% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 34.9% | Under 1.5 | 65.1% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 30.8% | Under 2.5 | 69.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.4% | Under 3.5 | 96.6% |
| BTTS | 33.0% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
4.3
Ecuador
4.6
Brazil
Total Expected
~8.9
Over 8.5
9%
Corners
3.9
Ecuador
3.6
Brazil
Total ~7.5
Over 9.5
22.0%
Over 10.5
13.5%
Yellow Cards
1.8
Ecuador
1.4
Brazil
Total ~3.2
Over 3.5
39.4%
Over 4.5
21.7%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
56.8%
Possession
49.2%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
34.8
Attack Score
81.2
98.9
Defence Score
103.8
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
4.3
Shots on Target
4.6
9.5
Interceptions
8.0
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Ecuador
← Home / Away →
Brazil