Brazil
80.2
FIFA World Cup
VS
2026
Japan
61.4
AI Summary
Plain language prediction
Most Likely Outcome
Brazil Win
42.4% probability
1.0 – 1.0
Most Probable Score · 14.8% chance
1.0–1.0 14.8%
0.0–0.0 14.1%
1.0–0.0 12.9%
0.0–1.0 10.7%
2.0–0.0 7.9%
Top 5 scorelines by Poisson probability · (Brazil – Japan)
Shots on Target
9.7
Brazil: 5.2
Japan: 4.6
Corners
8.5
Brazil: 4.7
Japan: 3.8
Both Teams Score
NO
46.1% chance
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46.4% chance
Team DNA & Playing Style
Based on 8.0 + 7.0 real matches
Brazil
POSSESSION
Possession
80.6/100
Aggression
79.9/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
53.4%
Poss
15.2
Shots
7.0
SOT
4.5
Corners
Japan
POSSESSION
Possession
70.3/100
Aggression
55.4/100
Pressing
0.0/100
Defensive
0.0/100
Avg per game (real data)
46.6%
Poss
10.6
Shots
4.1
SOT
3.9
Corners
Matchup Pattern: POSSESSION vs POSSESSION
Goals
low
Corners
medium
Cards
low
BTTS
50/50
Detailed Stats
Win probabilities, all markets
Win Probability
42.4%
Brazil Win
27.3%
Draw
30.4%
Japan Win
Goals O/U
O 1.5
62.3%
O 2.5 ★
46.4%
O 3.5
15.4%
SOT O/U
Brazil
5.2
Japan
4.6
O 8.5
63.7%
O 9.5
50.9%
Corners O/U
Brazil
4.7
Japan
3.8
O 9.5
35.0%
O 10.5
23.9%
BTTS + xG
BTTS
46.1% — NO
xG Brazil
1.1
xG Japan
0.9
Brazil — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.3%
Tie
72.7%
Lose
Japan — W/D/L
0.0%
Win
27.3%
Tie
72.7%
Lose
AI Match Verdict
Brazil Win
42.4% probability
Player Probabilities — Anytime Scorer & Assist
Win Probabilities
Brazil
42.4%
Draw
27.3%
Japan
30.4%
AI Verdict
Brazil Win
42.4% probability
xG Brazil
1.1
Score
1.0 – 1.0
xG Japan
0.9
Your Predicted Score
Brazil
–
Japan
Fill in your full betting slip below, then submit once.
Your Betting Slip — Every Market
Pick a side on every market, see the AI's own lean next to each, submit once — compared against the real result on /history once this match concludes.
AI:
46.4% Over
AI:
46.1% Yes
AI:
35.0% Over
AI:
63.7% Over
AI:
35.0% Over
AI:
45.2% Over
Goals Over / Under
| Over 1.5 | 62.3% | Under 1.5 | 37.7% |
| Over 2.5 ★ | 46.4% | Under 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 15.4% | Under 3.5 | 84.6% |
| BTTS | 46.1% — NO | ||
Second Opinion — Claude Fable 5
Sends this matchup's full data bundle (win/draw/loss, xG, ELO, H2H, rosters, injuries, styles, form) to Claude Fable 5 for an independent read — not the same model as the "AI Verdict" above. Slow (can take a couple of minutes) and cached per matchup, so this only runs once per pair of teams.
Shots on Target
5.2
Brazil
4.6
Japan
Total Expected
~9.7
Over 8.5
10%
Corners
4.7
Brazil
3.8
Japan
Total ~8.5
Over 9.5
35.0%
Over 10.5
23.9%
Yellow Cards
1.2
Brazil
1.7
Japan
Total ~3.0
Over 3.5
35.0%
Over 4.5
18.3%
Team Comparison — Qualifying Stats
49.2%
Possession
46.7%
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
81.2
Attack Score
57.4
103.8
Defence Score
96.2
0.0%
GK Save Rate
0.0%
5.2
Shots on Target
4.6
8.0
Interceptions
10.3
0.0
Clean Sheets/Seas
0.0
0.0
Goals For
0.0
0.0
Goals Against
0.0
0.0×
Form Trend
0.0×
Brazil
← Home / Away →
Japan